How accurate has Emerson College polling been in previous elections?
Either way, VOTE.
ancienteggfart on
The aggregates in the battlegrounds are practically tied in most battlegrounds; all battlegrounds can definitely flip to either candidate. It’s going to be a “which side has more people voting” election.
> New Emerson College Polling/The Hill surveys of likely voters in seven critical swing states find former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris neck and neck in the 2024 presidential election.
* In Georgia, 50% support Trump, 47% Harris.
* In Arizona and Wisconsin, 49% support Trump, 48% support Harris.
* In Pennsylvania, 48% support Trump, 47% Harris.
* In Nevada, the candidates are tied with 48% support each.
* In North Carolina, 49% support Harris, 48% Trump.
* In Michigan, 49% support Harris, 47% support Trump.
It is super close so this definitely could go either way.
3 Comments
How accurate has Emerson College polling been in previous elections?
Either way, VOTE.
The aggregates in the battlegrounds are practically tied in most battlegrounds; all battlegrounds can definitely flip to either candidate. It’s going to be a “which side has more people voting” election.
Here’s the emerson page:
https://emersoncollegepolling.com/september-2024-swing-state-polls-trump-and-harris-locked-in-tight-presidential-race/
> New Emerson College Polling/The Hill surveys of likely voters in seven critical swing states find former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris neck and neck in the 2024 presidential election.
* In Georgia, 50% support Trump, 47% Harris.
* In Arizona and Wisconsin, 49% support Trump, 48% support Harris.
* In Pennsylvania, 48% support Trump, 47% Harris.
* In Nevada, the candidates are tied with 48% support each.
* In North Carolina, 49% support Harris, 48% Trump.
* In Michigan, 49% support Harris, 47% support Trump.
It is super close so this definitely could go either way.
The concerns are worth noting:
* Arizona: 31% economy, 23% immigration, 12% abortion, 11% threats to democracy, 10% housing affordability
* Georgia: 50% economy, 9% threats to democracy, 9% healthcare, 9% housing affordability, 7% immigration, 6% abortion access
* Michigan: 51% economy, 10% threats to democracy, 9% housing affordability, 7% immigration, 7% healthcare
* Nevada: 39% economy, 16% housing affordability, 9% threats to democracy, 8% education, 8% immigration, 6% healthcare
* North Carolina: 45% economy, 10% housing affordability, 10% immigration
* Pennsylvania: 52% economy, 12% threats to democracy, 8% immigration, 6% abortion access, 6% healthcare
* Wisconsin: 44% economy, 12% threats to democracy, 9% housing affordability, 8% healthcare, 8% immigration, 8% abortion access
Having threats to democracy on there is … not great.