Williams Institute: More than 210,000 transgender voters could have problems casting ballots in this year’s election due to voter ID laws

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  1. More than 210,000 transgender voters could have problems casting ballots in this year’s election due to voter ID laws

    >The [UCLA Williams Institute of Law] analyzed voter ID laws across the United States in the lead-up to the November 2024 general election. Notably, since the last presidential election in 2020, voters in 27 states will face new restrictions for the 2024 general election that were not present for the 2020 general election. As a result, we found that as many as 210,800 transgender Americans who are eligible to vote may find it difficult to do so because of voter ID laws, including 91,300 who could face disenfranchisement in states with strict photo ID requirements. 

    >An estimated 433,200 transgender eligible voters live in the thirty-three states with both default in-person voting and voter ID laws. Approximately 49% (210,800) of these eligible voters report that they do not have identification that matches their identity and meets the requirements in their state (meaning, IDs with the correct name or, in states that require photo ID, correct name, and gender marker). These voters could be challenged by poll workers or election officials who find that their voter registration information, ID, and appearance do not match. In strict voter ID states, these voters could be made to vote on a provisional ballot, and their vote will not be counted unless they can later provide acceptable information or required identification.

    >Voter ID laws may create barriers to voting for substantial numbers of voting-eligible people, which is particularly notable in elections that are decided by a small number of votes. For example, in the November 2020 presidential election, Joe Biden won the state of Georgia by 11,779 votes. We estimate that there are 14,900 transgender-eligible voters in Georgia who lack accurate IDs. Georgia’s voter ID law is among the strictest in the United States. Similarly, in the November 2016 presidential election, Donald Trump won the state of Michigan by 10,704 votes (out of 4,799,284 votes cast). We estimate that there are about 9,800 transgender-eligible voters in Michigan who do not have accurate IDs. Perhaps most famously, the November 2000 presidential election was decided by several hundred votes in Florida. We estimate that as many as 26,600 voting-eligible transgender Floridians do not have accurate IDs.

    Wisconsin, North Carolina and Georgia have strict voter ID laws, and The Williams Institute estimates that there are 135,000 trans voters without accurate ID who are at risk of being disenfranchised.

    For the 2024 general election, it’s an estimated that 825,100 transgender adults will be eligible to vote.

    !ping LGBT&DEMOCRACY

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