Polling analyst Nate Silver said on Sunday that Vice President Kamala Harris, the Democratic presidential nominee, is more likely to win Alaska than Florida or Texas in November's election.
"Our model gives Harris a 22 percent chance of carrying Alaska: considerably higher than her chances in Florida or Texas, for instance," Silver said in a Substack blog post from Sunday.
New polling conducted by Alaska Survey Research from September 11 to 12, after Tuesday night's ABC News presidential debate between Harris and Trump, showed the Democrat down by 5 points with likely voters in the Northwestern state. Harris had the support of 42 percent of respondents whereas Trump had the backing of 47 percent.
The poll included 1,254 likely Alaskan voters. The margin of error and confidence level were not posted with the results.
Meanwhile, Trump leads Harris by 6.5 points (50.5 to 44 percent) in Texas, according to averages collected by poll aggregator FiveThirtyEight.
Although Trump also leads Harris in Florida, it's a closer race. Trump is ahead of Harris by 4.3 points in the Sunshine State (49.5 to 45.2 percent), according to FiveThirtyEight.
Posted by John3262005
3 Comments
I mean interesting if it does happen. I’m not sure if it would make that much of a difference, though I suppose it does open a bit of leeway in terms of an electoral college path
Oh boy, now if Kamala does lose, I can look forward to a generation of bitching about how she would have won if only she went to Alaska! Did she even try to secure that down-home oil and wildlife country vote?!?
Murkowski has originally declined to endorse, I wonder what it could take to change her mind.